Projeção da demanda por ar condicionado no setor residencial brasileiro
Economic growth leads to an improvement in standards of living and increased residential demand for air conditioning and other energy-consuming products. Brazil is among the ten largest air conditioning consumers in the world. The estimated electricity consumption for air conditioners in the residen...
| Autor principal: | Tocchio, Gabriel Guilhen |
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| Formato: | Trabalho de Conclusão de Curso (Graduação) |
| Idioma: | Português |
| Publicado em: |
Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná
2021
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: |
http://repositorio.utfpr.edu.br/jspui/handle/1/24062 |
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| Resumo: |
Economic growth leads to an improvement in standards of living and increased residential demand for air conditioning and other energy-consuming products. Brazil is among the ten largest air conditioning consumers in the world. The estimated electricity consumption for air conditioners in the residential sector has more than
tripled in the last twelve years, while household air conditioner ownership increased by 9% per year. Demand for electricity due to the use of air conditioning is expected to increase in the upcoming decades as a result of population growth, higher incomes, and higher individual preferences for air-conditioned spaces. However, the
growth in the Brazilian demand for air conditioning is a blind spot and an overlooked issue. In order to reduce the uncertainty associated with the evolution of the use of air conditioning in Brazil, the present work aims to understand the current use of air conditioning in the Brazilian residential sector and to forecast the future electricity demand. An in-depth review of the current air conditioning market in Brazil is presented in the academic work. Forecasting is based on a proposed methodology which includes weather data monitored by 265 meteorological stations between 2015 and 2018. Empirical correlations are used to determine daily average indoor temperatures for typical residential buildings and the ANSI/ASHRAE standard for indoor thermal comfort is applied to estimate the average number of cooling and heating days during a year. Efforts are also made to project the electricity consumption by space cooling until 2035 considering several effects, such as
population growth, ownership of ACs, cooling capacity, and equipment efficiency. |
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